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Bidding strategies for low volume, high value machinery accounts

Written by Michael Nadalin, CEO and Founder · 21 Aug 2026 · 7 min read
Bidding strategies for low volume, high value machinery accounts

Why Target CPA keeps stalling on a machinery account

Almost every Google Ads bidding article you will read was written for an online store doing 400 sales a month. Machinery is the opposite shape. High value, low volume, long cycle, and a buyer who is in a cab or a shed for half the year.

A dealer selling gear between $40k and $400k might get twenty enquiries in a strong month and six in the middle of seeding. Target CPA is a statistical machine and it needs repetition. Google's own floor is roughly 30 conversions in 30 days, and in my experience you want more than that before you hand over the wheel on an ag account. Give it twelve leads a month and it will spend your budget learning nothing, then blame the market.

This is what a real month looks like on the machinery accounts I take on.

ONE MONTH ON A MACHINERY ACCOUNT
Form enquiries and calls
22
Actually contactable
17
Sales-qualified leads
9
Quotes issued
5
Machines sold
2
Google only ever sees the top row unless you deliberately send the rest back to it.

What I actually run in the first 90 days

I start manual. Not because manual bidding is clever, but because it is the only way to control what you pay while the account has no history worth learning from. On agricultural machinery terms I am usually setting a ceiling somewhere between $6 and $16 a click depending on the gear and the state.

Then I do the boring part. One primary conversion action, everything else demoted to secondary. Most dealer accounts I inherit are counting eleven things at once, including footer phone clicks and a brochure PDF, which is exactly how you end up with a beautiful $40 cost per lead and no machines out the door.

The switch to automated bidding is earned, not scheduled.

THE 90 DAY BID SEQUENCE
1
Manual CPC or Maximise clicks with a hard CPC cap
Set the cap at what a click is genuinely worth to you, not what the estimator suggests
2
Fix the conversion actions
One primary action that a salesperson would call a lead. Everything else secondary
3
Run six to eight weeks and collect real data
You want 40 to 60 enquiries banked and a negative keyword list that has done some work
4
Maximise conversions, no target attached
Give it the budget as the guardrail. This is where most machinery accounts should live permanently
5
Target CPA only once volume holds
15 to 30 conversions a month, steady for two months, then set the target at your trailing 30 day CPA and leave it alone
If monthly conversions fall under about 15 for two months running, step back to Maximise conversions rather than nursing a starved Target CPA through seeding.
Most accounts I audit have jumped straight to step five in week one, which is why they are stuck.

Bid on the sale, not the form fill

This is the part that separates a machinery account that grows from one that plateaus at a nice looking cost per lead. If the only thing Google sees is a form submission, the algorithm will chase the cheapest form submissions in Australia, and you will get tyre kickers, students, and a bloke in Perth wanting a part for a 1994 header.

So we push the sales outcome back into the account. Offline conversion import, click ID stored on the enquiry, then uploaded from the dealer CRM or even a tidy spreadsheet as the lead moves through the stages. It takes an hour to set up and a five minute weekly habit to maintain.

The values do not need to be true dollars. They need to be true ratios. If a sale is worth eighty times a raw enquiry to your business, the numbers you upload should say that.

LEAD VALUES I FEED BACK TO GOOGLE
Machine sold
Uploaded on the invoice date against the original click ID, sometimes months later
$12,000
Quote issued
Specced machine, a real number on paper, finance conversation started
$2,000
Sales-qualified lead
Budget, timeframe, and a paddock problem worth solving
$600
Qualified enquiry
Real name, real farm, gear they actually run
$150
Even at low volume this works, because value based signals teach the machine which enquiries to chase long before you have enough sales to bid on directly.

The bidding year runs on the farming calendar, not the financial one

Rural buyers do not shop evenly across twelve months and your bidding should not pretend they do. I have watched accounts hold a flat daily budget through seeding, burn six weeks of spend on nobody, then run out of money in the exact fortnight the field day traffic arrived.

Two different tools for two different problems. Long seasonal shifts are a budget and target decision you make deliberately. Short sharp spikes, like a three day field day or a machinery clearing sale, are what the seasonality adjustment tool exists for, because it warns Smart Bidding that conversion rate is about to jump instead of letting it find out three days late.

THE AG BIDDING YEAR
Feb to Mar
Pre-seeding research. Air seeders, bars, boomsprays. Quote conversations start and bids should be at full strength
Apr to May
Seeding. Enquiries fall off a cliff. Hold Maximise conversions, trim budget, do not punish the target
June
End of financial year. Instant asset write off talk drives the fastest closes of the year. Bid hard, this is the single best month
Jul to Aug
Quiet and cheap. Good window to test new campaigns and rebuild remarketing pools
Sep to Oct
Field days and spring spraying. Top of funnel spikes, seasonality adjustments earn their keep
Nov to Jan
Harvest. Headers and chaser bins sell, everything else waits. Buyers browse at night, so check your ad schedule
Southern states shown here. Shift the whole track forward if the account sells into Queensland or the Territory.

Where the budget sits, and how to pool volume

Low volume accounts have a second problem. Split your spend across six campaigns and every single one of them is now too thin to bid intelligently. A portfolio bid strategy across your search campaigns fixes a lot of this, because the conversions pool into one learning set instead of six starving ones.

My default split on a dealer account looks like this, and I will happily hold it for a year before touching it.

MONTHLY BUDGET SPLIT I DEFEND
High intent brand, model and dealer searches
Category and problem searches
Remarketing, PMax and Meta Ads
Manual CPC first, portfolio Target CPA once the pooled volume supports it
Maximise clicks with tight caps and a brutal negative list
Cheap coverage across a long buying cycle, judged on assisted sales not last click
The bottom slice looks small until you remember a $250k machine takes six months to buy and someone has to stay in front of them.

What kills these accounts, and how long to wait before judging

The single most expensive habit in agriculture marketing is impatience. On a machinery account the lag between click and sale is often 60 to 180 days, so any bid change you make in week two is being judged against data that has not finished arriving. I do not form a view on a bid strategy in under eight weeks, and I will not rip one out inside twelve unless it is actively haemorrhaging money.

Set a rule with yourself before you start. One change a fortnight, written down, with the date. Then the account tells you something instead of you telling yourself a story.

WHAT MOVES IT VS WHAT KILLS IT
MOVES IT
Patient, fed, pooled
  • One primary conversion action a salesperson would recognise
  • Sale values uploaded back against the click ID every week
  • Portfolio strategy pooling volume across search campaigns
  • Budget planned around seeding, EOFY and harvest
KILLS IT
Weekly tinkering
  • Target CPA on 9 conversions a month
  • Dropping the target 20% because last week was expensive
  • Counting phone clicks and PDF downloads to fake volume
  • Judging a strategy at three weeks on a six month buying cycle
IGNORE
Advice that does not fit
  • Target ROAS, unless you genuinely have sale values flowing back in
  • Broad match plus Smart Bidding as a starting point
  • Cost per lead as the headline number in the monthly report
  • Any benchmark quoted from an ecommerce case study
Every item in the middle card is something I have personally watched an agency do to a machinery account and call it optimisation.
Quick check

Two questions before you go

Two calls you will genuinely have to make on a dealer account this year.

  1. 1. Your machinery client averages 12 enquiries a month. The sales manager suggests also counting phone number clicks, brochure downloads and newsletter signups as conversions, which would push the account past 30 a month and let you use Target CPA. Do you?

  2. 2. Seeding starts and enquiries drop by two thirds for six weeks. Your Target CPA campaign is now doing four conversions a month and cost per lead has climbed from $190 to $310. What is the right call?

Michael Nadalin, Founder of Market Lead and Harvest Lead
Written by
Michael Nadalin
Founder, Market Lead & Harvest Lead

Michael is the founder of both Market Lead and Harvest Lead, building lead and sales systems for agriculture and machinery businesses across Australia and the USA.

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